Strong STR cash flow
Projected monthly cash flow of $941 can absorb seasonal dips.
Short-term rental returns
Model a short-term rental using ADR, occupancy, platform fees, cleaning, management, and financing. See cash flow, RevPAN, expense ratio, and break-even occupancy.
Overview
An Airbnb calculator estimates a short-term rental's revenue, expenses, and profit using average daily rate (ADR), occupancy, platform and management fees, cleaning costs, and financing. It helps investors compare short-term and long-term rental returns before buying.
Projected monthly cash flow of $941 can absorb seasonal dips.
Break-even occupancy of 48% leaves a healthy gap below your expected 65%.
Expenses are only 43% of revenue. That leaves more room for slow months or surprise repairs.
Cash-on-cash return of 11.6% is above the 10% bar most STR investors look for.
| Year | Gross income | Op. expenses | NOI | Cash flow | Property value | Loan balance | Equity | Cum. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $51,009 | $22,051 | $28,957 | $11,294 | $303,850 | $219,003 | $84,847 | -20.1% |
| 2 | $52,029 | $22,636 | $29,393 | $11,729 | $312,966 | $216,593 | $96,373 | 3.1% |
| 3 | $53,070 | $23,237 | $29,832 | $12,168 | $322,354 | $214,008 | $108,346 | 27.3% |
| 4 | $54,131 | $23,855 | $30,276 | $12,612 | $332,025 | $211,237 | $120,788 | 52.4% |
| 5 | $55,214 | $24,489 | $30,724 | $13,060 | $341,986 | $208,266 | $133,720 | 78.4% |
| 6 | $56,318 | $25,141 | $31,177 | $13,513 | $352,245 | $205,080 | $147,165 | 105.4% |
| 7 | $57,444 | $25,811 | $31,633 | $13,969 | $362,813 | $201,664 | $161,149 | 133.4% |
| 8 | $58,593 | $26,499 | $32,094 | $14,430 | $373,697 | $198,000 | $175,697 | 162.5% |
| 9 | $59,765 | $27,206 | $32,559 | $14,895 | $384,908 | $194,072 | $190,836 | 192.6% |
| 10 | $60,960 | $27,933 | $33,027 | $15,364 | $396,455 | $189,860 | $206,595 | 223.8% |
| 11 | $62,179 | $28,679 | $33,500 | $15,836 | $408,349 | $185,343 | $223,006 | 256.1% |
| 12 | $63,423 | $29,446 | $33,977 | $16,313 | $420,599 | $180,500 | $240,099 | 289.6% |
| 13 | $64,691 | $30,235 | $34,457 | $16,793 | $433,217 | $175,307 | $257,911 | 324.3% |
| 14 | $65,985 | $31,045 | $34,941 | $17,277 | $446,214 | $169,738 | $276,476 | 360.2% |
| 15 | $67,305 | $31,877 | $35,428 | $17,764 | $459,600 | $163,767 | $295,834 | 397.5% |
| Metric | Often strong | Watch out | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| Occupancy | 60% to 75%+ | Below 45% | Short-term rental revenue depends on both nightly rate and booked nights. |
| Expense ratio | Below 55% of revenue | Above 70% of revenue | STRs often have higher utilities, supplies, cleaning, and management costs than long-term rentals. |
| Cash-on-cash return | 10% to 15%+ | Below 6% | Compares annual profit with down payment, closing costs, and setup budget. |
| Break-even occupancy | 15+ points below expected occupancy | Near expected occupancy | Shows how much occupancy can fall before the property stops cash flowing. |
Add purchase price, closing costs, and a realistic furnishing budget for an STR (often $15,000 to $50,000).
Use comps from AirDNA, Rabbu, or local hosts. Set average daily rate, occupancy, and any cleaning fees you collect from guests.
Include utilities, supplies, taxes, insurance, repairs, HOA, and reserves. Add cleaning costs separately if you do not pass them through.
Marketplace fees are usually 3% for hosts and management is often 15% to 25% of revenue. Co-hosting can be lower.
STR loans usually require 15% to 25% down. Use a higher rate if you plan to use a DSCR loan.
Review monthly cash flow, RevPAN, expense ratio, break-even occupancy, and the year-by-year cash flow.
Compare your result
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Monthly payment estimate
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